Is Ukraine winning the war with Russia?



The courage, resilience, and strength Ukraine has shown in defending itself during the unprovoked Russian invasion are truly remarkable and have exceeded many expectations. Yet, it’s important to view the situation with a balanced perspective. While some may assert that “Russia Is Losing the War in Ukraine,” this claim remains unverified. Recent developments suggest that Russia is making gradual progress in its military efforts against Ukraine. In these difficult times, our hearts go out to all those affected by this conflict, as we hold onto hope for peace and resolution soon.

Unwavering Western support for Ukraine is essential to global security and democracy. The international community, especially the U.S. and Europe, must continue to push back against Vladimir Putin’s expansionist ambitions.

Current Military Situation

Russian forces have been gradually gaining territory in Ukraine, particularly in the eastern regions. In 2024, Russia advanced almost 4,000 square kilometers, which was seven times greater than the ground it captured in 2023. The pace of Russian territorial gains has increased from 14 square kilometers per day in October to 28 square kilometers in November, though it slightly decreased to 18 square kilometers per day in December.

Russia has maintained a high pace of military operations across the front, utilizing dispersed troops to test Ukrainian defenses. In the first three days of 2025 alone, Russia launched 300 attack drones and nearly 20 missiles on Ukrainian targets, according to President Volodymyr Zelensky. The city of Pokrovsk is currently experiencing the most intense area of enemy ground assaults along the front.

Ukrainian Challenges

Ukraine is facing significant challenges, including a shortage of personnel. Reports reveal that 1,700 troops went AWOL from the 155th Mechanized Brigade during its nine-month initial training program, with 500 still missing from the unit. This highlights the difficulties Ukraine is experiencing in maintaining its military strength. Despite Ukraine’s notable record of asymmetric warfare, it appears to be on the losing end of this conflict as it approaches the conclusion of its third year. Approximately 20% of Ukraine’s territory is currently under Russian control.

International Dynamics

The upcoming change in U.S. leadership with Donald Trump’s second term may impact the conflict’s trajectory. There are concerns that Ukraine might be pressured to accept unfavorable terms with Russia, as Trump has promised to stop the war.

Ukrainian Courage and Resilience

Ukrainian armed forces have demonstrated remarkable bravery in defending their country. They’ve fought back with great skill and bravery, inflicting significant losses on Russian invaders and winning global admiration. Individual acts of heroism have been recognized, with numerous soldiers receiving state awards for their distinguished service.

And this level of perseverance hasn’t been limited to Ukraine’s military as the courage of Ukrainian civilians has been equally impressive.

Despite constant threats of Russian bombardment, essential services like trains and postal services continued to operate, playing crucial roles in evacuation efforts and maintaining economic stability. In addition, many businesses, from factories to restaurants, found creative ways to remain active despite challenges such as air raids, energy blackouts, and supply chain disruptions. And artists and cultural figures continue their work, offering art, music, and dance as a form of resistance and to boost morale.

Conclusion

Make no mistake, Russia has struggled and suffered significant losses, including an estimated 430,000 soldiers in 2024 according to Ukrainian sources. However, it continues to make territorial gains and maintain offensive operations. The current situation suggests that Russia is not losing the war, but rather slowly advancing its position in Ukraine. However, the conflict remains complex and dynamic, with both sides facing challenges and the potential for diplomatic interventions in the future.

HOW TO HELP UKRAINE



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